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  • P-ISSN 2586-2995
  • E-ISSN 2586-4130
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KDI Journal of Economic Policy. Vol. 40, No. 1, February 2018, pp. 1-30

https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.2018.40.1.1

× KDI Open Access is a program of fully open access journals to facilitate the widest possible dissemination of high-quality research. All research articles published in KDI JEP are immediately, permanently and freely available online for everyone to read, download and share in terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy†

JONG-WON YOON; JINILL KIM; JUNGJIN LEE

Author & Article History

Manuscript received 28 December 2017; revision received 03 January 2018; accepted 23 February 2018.

Abstract

Ongoing demographic changes have brought about a substantial shift in the size and age composition of the population, which are having a significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes usually do not take center stage in many macroeconomic policy discussions or debates. This paper illustrates how demographic variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and investment, and fiscal balances, from an empirical perspective. Based on empirical findings—particularly regarding inflation—we discuss their implications on macroeconomic policies, including monetary policy. We also highlight the need to consider the interactions between population dynamics and macroeconomic variables in macroeconomic policy decisions.

Keywords

Demographic Changes, Population Aging, Inflation, Macroeconomic Impact, Savings and Investment, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy

JEL Code

J11, E31, E21

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